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Sari Kovats      
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Sari Kovats published an article in September 2018.
Top co-authors See all
Xiaobo Liu

517 shared publications

Centre for Applied Chemistry, Research Branch of Advanced Functional Materials, School of Materials and Energy, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China

Gillian E. Smith

514 shared publications

University of Rochester Medical Center, Rochester, NY

Robert J. Nicholls

297 shared publications

Faculty of Engineering and the Environment, University of Southampton, Highfield, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK

Alistair Woodward

216 shared publications

Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Population Health, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand

Qiyong Liu

195 shared publications

Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention

108
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Distribution of Articles published per year 
(1998 - 2018)
Total number of journals
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38
 
Publications See all
Article 2 Reads 1 Citation Greenhouse gas emissions reduction in different economic sectors: Mitigation measures, health co-benefits, knowledge gap... Jinghong Gao, Hongli Hou, Yunkai Zhai, Alistair Woodward, So... Published: 01 September 2018
Environmental Pollution, doi: 10.1016/j.envpol.2018.05.011
DOI See at publisher website
Article 0 Reads 0 Citations Public health co-benefits of greenhouse gas emissions reduction: A systematic review Jinghong Gao, Sari Kovats, Sotiris Vardoulakis, Paul Wilkins... Published: 01 June 2018
Science of The Total Environment, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.01.193
DOI See at publisher website
Article 0 Reads 3 Citations The English National Cohort Study of Flooding and Health: the change in the prevalence of psychological morbidity at yea... Daiga Jermacane, Thomas David Waite, Charles R. Beck, Angie ... Published: 07 March 2018
BMC Public Health, doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5236-9
DOI See at publisher website PubMed View at PubMed ABS Show/hide abstract
The longer term impact of flooding on health is poorly understood. In 2015, following widespread flooding in the UK during winter 2013/14, Public Health England launched the English National Study of Flooding and Health. The study identified a higher prevalence of probable psychological morbidity one year after exposure to flooding. We now report findings after two years. In year two (2016), a self-assessment questionnaire including flooding-related exposures and validated instruments to screen for probable anxiety, depression and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) was sent to all participants who consented to further follow-up. Participants exposure status was categorised according to responses in year one; we assessed for exposure to new episodes of flooding and continuing flood-related problems in respondents homes. We calculated the prevalence and odds ratio for each outcome by exposure group relative to unaffected participants, adjusting for confounders. We used the McNemar test to assess change in outcomes between year one and year two. In year two, 1064 (70%) people responded. The prevalence of probable psychological morbidity remained elevated amongst flooded participants [n = 339] (depression 10.6%, anxiety 13.6%, PTSD 24.5%) and disrupted participants [n = 512] (depression 4.1%, anxiety 6.4%, PTSD 8.9%), although these rates were reduced compared to year one. A greater reduction in anxiety 7.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 4.6–9.9) was seen than depression 3.8% (95% CI 1.5–6.1) and PTSD: 6.6% (95% CI 3.9–9.2). Exposure to flooding was associated with a higher odds of anxiety (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 5.2 95%, 95% CI 1.7–16.3) and depression (aOR 8.7, 95% CI 1.9–39.8) but not PTSD. Exposure to disruption caused by flooding was not significantly associated with probable psychological morbidity. Persistent damage in the home as a consequence of the original flooding event was reported by 119 participants (14%). The odds of probable psychological morbidity amongst flooded participants who reported persistent damage, compared with those who were unaffected, were significantly higher than the same comparison amongst flooded participants who did not report persistent damage. This study shows a continuance of probable psychological morbidity at least two years following exposure to flooding. Commissioners and providers of health and social care services should be aware that the increased need in populations may be prolonged. Efforts to resolve persistent damage to homes may reduce the risk of probable psychological morbidity. The online version of this article (10.1186/s12889-018-5236-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Article 1 Read 4 Citations The use of climate information to estimate future mortality from high ambient temperature: A systematic literature revie... Michael Sanderson, Katherine Arbuthnott, Sari Kovats, Shakoo... Published: 07 July 2017
PLoS ONE, doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0180369
DOI See at publisher website PubMed View at PubMed ABS Show/hide abstract
Heat related mortality is of great concern for public health, and estimates of future mortality under a warming climate are important for planning of resources and possible adaptation measures. Papers providing projections of future heat-related mortality were critically reviewed with a focus on the use of climate model data. Some best practice guidelines are proposed for future research. The electronic databases Web of Science and PubMed/Medline were searched for papers containing a quantitative estimate of future heat-related mortality. The search was limited to papers published in English in peer-reviewed journals up to the end of March 2017. Reference lists of relevant papers and the citing literature were also examined. The wide range of locations studied and climate data used prevented a meta-analysis. A total of 608 articles were identified after removal of duplicate entries, of which 63 were found to contain a quantitative estimate of future mortality from hot days or heat waves. A wide range of mortality models and climate model data have been used to estimate future mortality. Temperatures in the climate simulations used in these studies were projected to increase. Consequently, all the papers indicated that mortality from high temperatures would increase under a warming climate. The spread in projections of future climate by models adds substantial uncertainty to estimates of future heat-related mortality. However, many studies either did not consider this source of uncertainty, or only used results from a small number of climate models. Other studies showed that uncertainty from changes in populations and demographics, and the methods for adaptation to warmer temperatures were at least as important as climate model uncertainty. Some inconsistencies in the use of climate data (for example, using global mean temperature changes instead of changes for specific locations) and interpretation of the effects on mortality were apparent. Some factors which have not been considered when estimating future mortality are summarised. Most studies have used climate data generated using scenarios with medium and high emissions of greenhouse gases. More estimates of future mortality using climate information from the mitigation scenario RCP2.6 are needed, as this scenario is the only one under which the Paris Agreement to limit global warming to 2°C or less could be realised. Many of the methods used to combine modelled data with local climate observations are simplistic. Quantile-based methods might offer an improved approach, especially for temperatures at the ends of the distributions. The modelling of adaptation to warmer temperatures in mortality models is generally arbitrary and simplistic, and more research is needed to better quantify adaptation. Only a small number of studies included possible changes in population and demographics in their estimates of future mortality, meaning many estimates of mortality could be biased low....
Article 0 Reads 9 Citations Challenges in developing methods for quantifying the effects of weather and climate on water-associated diseases: A syst... Giovanni Lo Iacono, Ben Armstrong, Lora E. Fleming, Richard ... Published: 12 June 2017
PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005659
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Infectious diseases attributable to unsafe water supply, sanitation and hygiene (e.g. Cholera, Leptospirosis, Giardiasis) remain an important cause of morbidity and mortality, especially in low-income countries. Climate and weather factors are known to affect the transmission and distribution of infectious diseases and statistical and mathematical modelling are continuously developing to investigate the impact of weather and climate on water-associated diseases. There have been little critical analyses of the methodological approaches. Our objective is to review and summarize statistical and modelling methods used to investigate the effects of weather and climate on infectious diseases associated with water, in order to identify limitations and knowledge gaps in developing of new methods. We conducted a systematic review of English-language papers published from 2000 to 2015. Search terms included concepts related to water-associated diseases, weather and climate, statistical, epidemiological and modelling methods. We found 102 full text papers that met our criteria and were included in the analysis. The most commonly used methods were grouped in two clusters: process-based models (PBM) and time series and spatial epidemiology (TS-SE). In general, PBM methods were employed when the bio-physical mechanism of the pathogen under study was relatively well known (e.g. Vibrio cholerae); TS-SE tended to be used when the specific environmental mechanisms were unclear (e.g. Campylobacter). Important data and methodological challenges emerged, with implications for surveillance and control of water-associated infections. The most common limitations comprised: non-inclusion of key factors (e.g. biological mechanism, demographic heterogeneity, human behavior), reporting bias, poor data quality, and collinearity in exposures. Furthermore, the methods often did not distinguish among the multiple sources of time-lags (e.g. patient physiology, reporting bias, healthcare access) between environmental drivers/exposures and disease detection. Key areas of future research include: disentangling the complex effects of weather/climate on each exposure-health outcome pathway (e.g. person-to-person vs environment-to-person), and linking weather data to individual cases longitudinally.
Article 5 Reads 0 Citations Socioenvironmental factors associated with heat and cold-related mortality in Vadu HDSS, western India: a population-bas... Vijendra Ingole, Sari Kovats, Barbara Schumann, Shakoor Haja... Published: 19 May 2017
International Journal of Biometeorology, doi: 10.1007/s00484-017-1363-8
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Ambient temperatures (heat and cold) are associated with mortality, but limited research is available about groups most vulnerable to these effects in rural populations. We estimated the effects of heat and cold on daily mortality among different sociodemographic groups in the Vadu HDSS area, western India. We studied all deaths in the Vadu HDSS area during 2004–2013. A conditional logistic regression model in a case-crossover design was used. Separate analyses were carried out for summer and winter season. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated for total mortality and population subgroups. Temperature above a threshold of 31 °C was associated with total mortality (OR 1.48, CI = 1.05–2.09) per 1 °C increase in daily mean temperature. Odds ratios were higher among females (OR 1.93; CI = 1.07–3.47), those with low education (OR 1.65; CI = 1.00–2.75), those owing larger agricultural land (OR 2.18; CI = 0.99–4.79), and farmers (OR 1.70; CI = 1.02–2.81). In winter, per 1 °C decrease in mean temperature, OR for total mortality was 1.06 (CI = 1.00–1.12) in lag 0–13 days. High risk of cold-related mortality was observed among people occupied in housework (OR = 1.09; CI = 1.00–1.19). Our study suggests that both heat and cold have an impact on mortality particularly heat, but also, to a smaller degree, cold have an impact. The effects may differ partly by sex, education, and occupation. These findings might have important policy implications in preventing heat and cold effects on particularly vulnerable groups of the rural populations in low and middle-income countries with hot semi-arid climate.
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