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Peter Burek  - - - 
Top co-authors See all
Ine Vandecasteele

16 shared publications

Vrije Universiteit Brussel

Ad De Roo

12 shared publications

European Commission; Joint Research Centre; Ispra Italy

Fayçal Bouraoui

11 shared publications

European Commission - DG Joint Research Centre

Carlo LaValle

8 shared publications

Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Land Management and Natural Hazards Unit, European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy

Alessandro Gentile

1 shared publications

6
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Publication Record
Distribution of Articles published per year 
(2014 - 2019)
Total number of journals
published in
 
6
 
Publications
Article 0 Reads 0 Citations Bridging global, basin and local-scale water quality modeling towards enhancing water quality management worldwide Ting Tang, Maryna Strokal, Michelle T.H. Van Vliet, Piet Seu... Published: 01 February 2019
Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2018.10.004
DOI See at publisher website ABS Show/hide abstract
Global water quality (WQ) modeling is an emerging field. In this article, we identify the missing linkages between global and basin/local-scale WQ models, and discuss the possibilities to fill these gaps. We argue that WQ models need stronger linkages across spatial scales. This would help to identify effective scale-specific WQ management options and contribute to future development of global WQ models. Two directions are proposed to improve the linkages: nested multiscale WQ modeling towards enhanced water management, and development of next-generation global WQ models based-on basin/local-scale mechanistic understanding. We highlight the need for better collaboration among WQ modelers and policy-makers in order to deliver responsive water policies and management strategies across scales.
Article 0 Reads 1 Citation A Continental‐Scale Hydroeconomic Model for Integrating Water‐Energy‐Land Nexus Solutions Taher Kahil, Simon Parkinson, Yusuke Satoh, Peter Greve, Pet... Published: 11 October 2018
Water Resources Research, doi: 10.1029/2017wr022478
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This study presents the development of a new bottom‐up large‐scale hydro‐economic model, Extended Continental‐scale Hydro‐economic Optimization (ECHO), that works at a sub‐basin scale over a continent. The strength of ECHO stems from the integration of a detailed representation of local hydrological and technological constraints with regional and global policies, while accounting for the feedbacks between water, energy and agricultural sectors. In this study, ECHO has been applied over Africa as a case study with the aim of demonstrating the benefits of this integrated hydro‐economic modeling framework. Results of this framework are overall consistent with previous findings evaluating the cost of water supply and adaptation to global changes in Africa. Moreover, results provide critical assessments of future investment needs in both supply and demand side water management options, economic implications of contrasting future socio‐economic and climate change scenarios, and the potential tradeoffs among economic and environmental objectives. Overall, this study demonstrates the capacity of ECHO to address challenging research questions examining the sustainability of water supply, and the impacts of water management on energy and food sectors and vice versa. As such, we propose ECHO as useful tool for water‐related scenario analysis and management options evaluation.
Article 0 Reads 2 Citations Global exposure and vulnerability to multi-sector development and climate change hotspots Edward Byers, Matthew Gidden, David Leclère, Juraj Balkovic,... Published: 01 May 2018
Environmental Research Letters, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aabf45
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Understanding the interplay between multiple climate change risks and socioeconomic development is increasingly required to inform effective actions to manage these risks and pursue sustainable development. We calculate a set of 14 impact indicators at different levels of global mean temperature (GMT) change and socioeconomic development covering water, energy and land sectors from an ensemble of global climate, integrated assessment and impact models. The analysis includes changes in drought intensity and water stress index, cooling demand change and heat event exposure, habitat degradation and crop yield, amongst others. To investigate exposure to multi-sector climate impacts, these are combined with gridded socioeconomic projections of population and those 'vulnerable to poverty' from three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP) (income <$10/day, currently 4.2 billion people). We show that global exposure to multi-sector risks approximately doubles between 1.5 °C and 2 °C GMT change, doubles again with 3 °C GMT change and is ~6x between the best and worst cases (SSP1/1.5 °C vs SSP3/3 °C, 0.8–4.7bi). For populations vulnerable to poverty, the exposure is an order of magnitude greater (8–32x) in the high poverty and inequality scenarios (SSP3) compared to sustainable socioeconomic development (SSP1). Whilst 85%–95% of global exposure falls to Asian and African regions, they have 91%–98% of the exposed and vulnerable population (depending on SSP/GMT combination), approximately half of which in South Asia. In higher warming scenarios, African regions have growing proportion of the global exposed and vulnerable population, ranging from 7%–17% at 1.5 °C, doubling to 14%–30% at 2 °C and again to 27%–51% at 3 °C. Finally, beyond 2 °C and at higher risk thresholds, the world's poorest are disproportionately impacted, particularly in cases (SSP3) of high inequality in Africa and southern Asia. Sustainable development that reduces poverty, mitigates emissions and meets targets in the water, energy and land sectors has the potential for order-of-magnitude scale reductions in multi-sector climate risk for the most vulnerable.
Article 7 Reads 4 Citations Multi-model and multi-scenario assessments of Asian water futures: The Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative Yusuke Satoh, Mohamed Taher Kahil, Edward Byers, Peter Burek... Published: 28 July 2017
Earth's Future, doi: 10.1002/2016ef000503
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This paper presents one of the first quantitative scenario assessments for future water supply and demand in Asia to 2050. The assessment, developed by the Water Futures and Solutions (WFaS) initiative, uses the latest set of global climate change and socioeconomic scenarios and state-of-the-art global hydrological models. In Asia, water demand for irrigation, industry, and households is projected to increase substantially in the coming decades (30–40% by 2050 compared to 2010). These changes are expected to exacerbate water stress, especially in the current hotspots such as north India and Pakistan, and north China. By 2050, 20% of the land area in the Asia-Pacific region, with a population of 1.6–2 billion, is projected to experience severe water stress. We find that socioeconomic changes are the main drivers of worsening water scarcity in Asia, with climate change impacts further increasing the challenge into the 21st century. Moreover, a detailed basin-level analysis of the hydro-economic conditions of 40 Asian basins shows that although the coping capacity of all basins is expected to improve due to gross domestic product (GDP) growth, some basins continuously face severe water challenges. These basins will potentially be home to up to 1.6 billion people by mid-21st century.
Article 0 Reads 1 Citation Multi-Criteria Framework to Assess Large Scale Water Resources Policy Measures Angel Udias, Alessandro Gentile, Peter Burek, Ad De Roo, Fay... Published: 29 August 2016
Water, doi: 10.3390/w8090370
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In order to assess water efficiency options on the European scale, a multi-criteria integrative hydro-economic modeling framework has been developed. With this framework, it is possible to assess combinations of measures which could help reducing the gap between water demand and water availability, while taking into account ecological, water quality, flood risk and economic aspects. The assessed measures include water retention, water savings and nutrient reduction measures. The presented work was carried out within the framework of the “Blueprint to safeguard Europe’s waters” policy initiative of the European Commission. Contrary to earlier studies concentrating on single measures in single river basins, this study shows that this modeling environment can evaluate combinations of measures in multiple river basins that meet the considered objectives, and in general can improve various water quantity and quality indicators as compared to the baseline situation. However, additional work is needed on for example quantifying the economics of damage and benefits before the modelling environment may be used for policy advice.
Article 0 Reads 72 Citations Hyper-resolution global hydrological modelling: what is next? Marc F. P. Bierkens, Victoria A. Bell, Peter Burek, Nathanie... Published: 12 December 2014
Hydrological Processes, doi: 10.1002/hyp.10391
DOI See at publisher website
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