EventsThe 4th International Electronic Conference on Atmospheric Sciences
Published
with-doi10.3390/ecas2021-10354 (registering DOI)
This submission belongs to the session S4. Climatology of the event The 4th International Electronic Conference on Atmospheric Sciences
Published date
22 Jun, 2021
Academic Editor
author-avatarAnthony Lupo
Citation
Yire Shin, Piyapatr Busababodhin, Jeong-Soo Park, The r-largest four parameter kappa distribution, in Proceedings of The 4th International Electronic Conference on Atmospheric Sciences, 16 July–31 July 2021, MDPI: Basel, Switzerland, doi: 10.3390/ecas2021-10354
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The r-largest four parameter kappa distribution

Piyapatr Busababodhin 2
1. Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Chonnam National University, South Korea
2. Department of Mathmatics, Mahasarakham University, Thailand
3. Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Chonnam National University
Abstract

The generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) has been widely used to model the extreme events in many areas. It is however limited to using only block maxima, which motivated to model the GEVD dealing with r-largest order statistics (rGEVD). The rGEVD which uses more than one extreme per block can significantly improves the performance of the GEVD. The four parameter kappa distribution (K4D) is a generalization of some three-parameter distributions including the GEVD. It can be useful in fitting data when three parameters in the GEVD are not sufficient to capture the variability of the extreme observations. The K4D still uses only block maxima. In this study, we thus extend the K4D to deal with r-largest order statistics as analogy as the GEVD is extended to the rGEVD. The new distribution is called the r-largest four parameter kappa distribution (rK4D). We derive a joint probability density function (PDF) of the rK4D, and the marginal and conditional cumulative distribution functions and PDFs. The maximum likelihood method is considered to estimate parameters. The usefulness and some practical concerns of the rK4D are illustrated by applying it to Venice sea-level data. This example study shows that the rK4D gives better fit but larger variances of the parameter estimates than the rGEVD. Some new $r$-largest distributions are derived as special cases of the rK4D, such as the $r$-largest logistic (rLD), generalized logistic (rGLD), and generalized Gumbel distributions (rGGD).

Keywords
Annual maximum sea level
Bias-variance trade-off
Delta method
Hydrology
Return level
Variance estimation
Manuscript
Poster
ECAS_poster_210620.pdf
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