EventsThe 1st International Online Conference on Risks
Published
This submission belongs to the session S2. Actuarial Science of the event The 1st International Online Conference on Risks
Published date
01 Jul, 2026
Academic Editor
author-avatarHailiang Yang
Citation
Vali Asimit, Ziwei Chen, Oana Avramescu, Diego Rivas, Claudio Senatore, GLM Solutions via Shrinkage, in Proceedings of The 1st International Online Conference on Risks, 6 July–7 July 2026, MDPI: Basel, Switzerland
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GLM Solutions via Shrinkage

Oana Avramescu 2
Diego Rivas 2
Claudio Senatore 2
1. Bayes Business School, City St George's, University of London, London, UK, UK
2. SAS Institute, Cary, United States, USA
Abstract

Generalised Linear Models are a core tool for modelling non-normal data and are routinely fitted via the Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares algorithm. While this algorithm is computationally attractive, its performance can be hindered by convergence issues, sensitivity to starting values, and substantial estimation error. This paper develops a practical enhancement of the Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares algorithm by replacing the standard least squares step with Stein-type shrinkage estimators. These estimators reduce the theoretical mean squared error by introducing a controlled bias that leads to a significant variance reduction, without requiring cross-validation or increasing computational complexity. As a result, the proposed approach provides a scalable and efficient alternative to commonly used penalised generalised linear modelling. In addition, we propose an optimisation-based strategy for selecting starting values, which improves the stability and convergence of both standard and shrinkage-based Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares implementations. The paper is not primarily methodological; instead, it focuses on the practical deployment of generalised linear modelling. Extensive numerical experiments, covering a wide range of settings relevant to practitioners, together with real-data applications, demonstrate consistent improvements in accuracy, stability, and computational efficiency over the industry standard benchmarks.

Keywords
Generalised Linear Model
Shrinkage Estimation
Iteratively Reweighted Least Squares
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