Introduction
Postoperative atrial fibrillation (AF) occurs in 20–50% of cardiac surgery patients and increases morbidity. In candidates for the Dor procedure for post infarction left ventricular aneurysm, ventricular arrhythmias (VA) are reported in up to 52% of cases. However, predictors of arrhythmic events specifically after this procedure remain ill defined. We aimed to identify clinical and perioperative risk factors for postoperative AF and VA.
Methods
We included 1760 patients who underwent the Dor procedure between 2010 and 2025. Mean age was 51.3±0.2 years; mean follow up was 3.1±0.78 months. We analyzed clinical data, echocardiographic parameters, and perioperative variables—including cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time, aortic cross clamp time, and total operative time. We used logistic regression with backward stepwise selection to determine independent predictors of AF and VA.
Results
Independent predictors of postoperative AF were: ischemic mitral regurgitation (β=0.250, p=0.05), enlarged left atrium (β=1.490, p=0.01), prior recurrent myocardial infarction (β=0.017, p=0.05), incomplete revascularization (β=0.289, p=0.034), longer CPB time (β=1.031, p=0.03), longer aortic cross clamp time (β=1.128, p=0.001), older age (β=0.221, p=0.036), and prolonged total operative time (>4 h) (β=1.65, p=0.012).
For VA, predictors were: recurrent infarction (β=0.320, p=0.05), incomplete revascularization (β=0.580, p=0.03), longer CPB time (β=1.017, p=0.0021), longer cross clamp time (β=1.059, p=0.0004), elevated LV end diastolic volume (β=1.591, p=0.015), older age (β=0.350, p=0.029), and prolonged operative time (β=1.92, p=0.008). Appropriate ICD therapies for VA after LV reconstruction occur in 22% of patients, mostly within 90 days.
Conclusions
Postoperative AF and VA after the Dor procedure are associated with ischemic mitral regurgitation, left atrial enlargement, incomplete revascularization, prolonged CPB and cross clamp times, advanced age, and extended operative time. These predictors can aid risk stratification and perioperative management.