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Coastal Flood Risk Analysis in Turkey’s Black Sea Region
* 1, 2, 3 , 4, 5 , 6
1  Simion Mehedinți “Nature and Sustainable Development” Doctoral School, University of Bucharest, 061071 Bucharest, Romania
2  Research Center for Integrated Analysis and Territorial Management, University of Bucharest, 4-12 Regina Elisabeta Avenue, 030018 Bucharest, Romania
3  National Institute of Hydrology and Water Management, Avenue Bucharest-Ploiesti 97E, 013686 Bucharest, Romania
4  Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Faculty of Geography, University of Bucharest, 061071 Bucharest, Romania
5  Buzau Ialomita Water Administration, Avenue Bucegi, nr. 20 bis, 120208, Buzau, Romania
6  Artvin Coruh University, Faculty of Forestry, Seyitler Campus, 08000, Artvin/Turkey
Academic Editor: Yongping Chen

https://doi.org/10.3390/ECWS-6-11646 (registering DOI)
Abstract:

The risk of coastal flooding is increasing as a result of the combined action of storm surges and sea-level rise in the context of global climate change. The rate of sea-level rise is accelerating year by year, and an increase of more than 60 centimeters is expected by the end of the century. The Black Sea, even if it is a semi-closed sea, is also affected by this phenomenon, and its effects are visible especially during storms. The August 2021 climate events in Turkey have brought attention to studying floods in the Black Sea coast. Thus, the objective of this paper is to assess the flood risk at the Turkish Black Sea coast. This study uses an efficient methodology to delineate flood-hazard areas using Geographic Information Systems. The result of the research is the development of a flood risk map covering various scenarios of sea-level rise which lead to coastal flooding. The map for the entire Turkish coastal area of the Black Sea Region revealed that the most affected area would be the province of Samsun. The results of this study can be used by policy-makers to implement appropriate risk mitigation strategies in those high flood risk areas.

Keywords: coastal zone; floods; Black Sea; Turkey; global climate change; GIS
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