Urban expansion is a pivotal issue in emerging markets and developing countries, with Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia's capital, exemplifying this challenge. Home to half of the country's population, Ulaanbaatar faces significant pollution and overcrowding issues, largely due to the ger district, characterized by traditional Mongolian tent houses ('Gers') and insufficient infrastructure. This research uses various data sources to analyze the city’s historical morphology and population changes from the 1990s to 2020, with a particular focus on the ger district. Using the Global Human Settlement Layer (GHSL), crowd-sourced data, and governmental census data, we analyze Ulaanbaatar's settlement expansion and population changes from 1990 to 2020. Our approach introduces city-wide and 'Ger District' comparisons, supplemented by district-level analysis to capture the city's heterogeneity. We employ the United Nations (UN) Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) 11.3 index, specifically the Land Consumption Rate to Population Growth Rate (LCRPGR), to assess these changes. Our findings indicate that Ulaanbaatar's overall population growth peaked from 2000-2010, but the ger district's growth rate saw a surge from 2010-2020. This increase significantly expanded the city's total settlement footprint, leading to high land consumption rates (LCR) during this period. The low-density expansion is notably reflected in the city-wide LCRPGR index, with values exceeding 1 from 2010-2020, a significant rise from earlier periods. Our study highlights the necessity for a nuanced approach to urban expansion analysis, considering both city-wide and district-level dynamics. The insights gained are invaluable for urban planning and sustainable development strategies in Ulaanbaatar and other rapidly growing cities.
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Evaluating Urban Expansion in Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia: A Study Based on SDG 11.3.1 Indicators, 1990-2020
Published:
17 April 2024
by MDPI
in OHOW 2023 – The 2nd International Symposium on One Health, One World
session Infrastructure Management and sustainable built environment
Abstract:
Keywords: Global Human Settlement Layer; Urban growth; Time Series; Ger District; Sustainable Urban Development
Comments on this paper
Sim Graham
9 September 2024
How can the insights gained from the analysis of Ulaanbaatar's urban expansion inform future urban planning strategies to address pollution geometry dash breeze and overcrowding in the ger district?
Sim Graham
9 September 2024
In what ways does the significant rise in the Land Consumption Rate to Population Growth Rate (LCRPGR) in Ulaanbaatar from 2010 to 2020 highlight the challenges of sustainable development in geometry dash breezegeometry dash breeze rapidly growing urban areas?
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19 October 2024
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The research on Ulaanbaatar's urban expansion reveals critical insights into population dynamics and infrastructure challenges. The ger district's rapid growth underscores the need for sustainable urban Build Now GG planning solutions in developing cities.