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Climatic influence on atmospheric evaporative demand in Estonia (1951-2015)
Fernando Domínguez-Castro * 1 , Sergio Vicente-Serrano 1 , Jaak Jaagus 2 , Miquel Tomas-Burguera 3 , Makki Khorchani 1 , Marina Peña-Gallardo 1 , Tim McVicar 4
1  Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, IPE-CSIC
2  University of Tartu
3  Estación Experimental de Aula Dei, EEAD-CSIC
4  CSIRO

10.3390/CHyCle-2017-04860
Abstract:

Atmospheric evaporative demand (ADE) trends at global scale are important to understand the impact of global warming in the hydrological cycle. But there is no consensus, in the global scale studies, about ADE variability and many areas have been ignored in regional studies. This is the case of Estonia, located in the eastern coast of the Baltic Sea between 57.5 and 59.5°N. To shed light on the ADE variability in the country we have studied the spatial and temporal variability of ET0 from 1951 to 2015.

We have computed ET0 from 9 high-quality meteorological stations by Penman–Monteith equation. We have analysed the spatial and temporal variability of ET0 and its main drivers i.e. maximum temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, sunshine duration, relative humidity and atmospheric pressure.

ET0, at annual scale and country level, shows a positive and significant trend with a magnitude of change during the studied period of 5.3 mm decade-1, with the highest values during the spring (4.1 mm decade-1).  The costal series show a higher magnitude of change (7.1 mm decade-1in average) than the inland series (4.3 mm decade-1 in average), principally because coastal areas show greater magnitude of change during the summer. High significant correlation (r=0.7-0.8) have been found among computed ET0 and observed evaporation measurements with evaporation pan and lysimeter during the period 1968-2005.

At annual scale, during spring and summer ET0 is highly correlated with sunshine (positive), relative humidity (negative) and maximum temperature (positive). Meanwhile sunshine has no significate trend, maximum temperature shows positive and significant trend in all the series and seasons and relative humidity shows significant negative trends in 8 of the 9 series studied during the spring.

Keywords: Atmospheric evaporative demand, ET0, Estonia
Comments on this paper
Marta Vázquez
Table 1
Dear authors,

Cogratulation for the interesting work.
My question concers Table 1, are the correlation values statistically significative? at which level?

Kind regards,

Marta
Fernando Domínguez-Castro
Dear Marta

Thanks for your interest.
The correlations are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level

Best regards

Fernando



 
 
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