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[e001] Strategic Analysis Adaptation Assessment: An Alternativeto the Economic Storyline Scenario

Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand
14 March 2014
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Abstract

Scenarios of future trends are widely used by government and international agencies to inform decision-making. While story line scenarios may be useful for business or government thinking, they are not effective at informing engineering research, innovation and design, and add very little to the understanding of sustainability. This paper presents a strategic analysis approach to complex systems, which relies on identification of risks to important activities and wellbeing. This method mimics the actual processes of anthropogenic continuity, where people explore, experiment, learn from success and mistakes, and adapt and evolve. The method is applied to the case study of transportation fuel supply in New Zealand. Directions for immediate strategic engineering research and innovation are clear outcomes of the analysis.

Keywords

Scenarios, Planning, Adaptation

Cite this article as

Krumdieck, S. Strategic Analysis Adaptation Assessment: An Alternativeto the Economic Storyline Scenario. In Proceedings of the 1st Int. Electron. Conf. Energies, 14–31 March 2014; Sciforum Electronic Conference Series, Vol. 1, 2014 , e001; doi:10.3390/ece-1-e001

Copyright & Licensing

Copyright by the author(s). This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC-BY) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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