Kodkin V L, professor at SUSU (Russia)
Is it possible to stably manage complexes of unstable aggregates?
The transition to green energy is widely discussed by economists, journalists and politicians. As often happens, the engineers are almost inaudible. Is it confidence in their omnipotence? Or misunderstanding...
Meanwhile , there are problems . If green energy is based on wind turbines, as the most important and powerful power units, then the problem of sustainability in such an energy system will be extremely acute.
Now it is not there, because wind energy is being added to a very stable nuclear, or carbon, one. But what if these power engineers do not remain?!
Wind turbines themselves are unstable for many reasons - because of the instability of the wind, in the first place. If the parameters of the generated energy do not correspond to the network, the wind turbine is disconnected from the network. And if all installations of the power system behave this way?
All criteria for the stability of complex multidimensional systems begin with the words “All elements of the system must be stable in autonomous modes of operation ...” And if this condition is not present?
Is there a need for a power system at all if the energy sources themselves are distributed? Is it necessary to keep tight network parameters, if almost all consumers still regulate both the frequency and amplitude of the voltage during operation?
The report proposes several provisions that analyze the conditions for the operation of wind power complexes from the point of view of ensuring their sustainability as multidimensional complex dynamic systems and proposes theoretical approaches to solving the problem.