Please login first
Quantitative Prediction of Pre-Monsoon Rainfall in a Metro City of India
* 1 , 2, 3 , 4
1  Research Scholar, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Calcutta, Kolkata,India
2  Associate Professor , Department of Mathematics, Vidyasagar Metropolitan College,Kolkata,India
3  Guest Faculty, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Calcutta,Kolkata,India
4  Professor, Department of Atmospheric Sciences University of Calcutta,Kolkata,India
Academic Editor: Sonia Arrasate Gil

Abstract:

The present study mainly aims at the quantitative prediction of rainfall during the pre-monsoon season at Kolkata (22° 34' N, 88° 24' E), India, for the next 24 hours from the time of observation. For this purpose multiple linear regression models are developed separately for March, April, May and the Whole Pre-Monsoon Season. The total period of the study is 1974-2014 (41 years) among which data set (1974-2001) is used to select the important parameters for constructing the models and that of (2002-2014) is used for validation. The parameters are selected on the basis of stepwise linear regression, backward selection procedure and ANOVA.

It is interesting to note that the multiple linear regression models thus developed are capable of predicting the moderate range rainfall (7.5mm-35.55mm) almost accurately with the maximum error lying between ±10mm.

Though the residual plots indicate that there are no such obvious defects present in the models, the RMSE values reveal that the models for May and Whole Pre-Monsoon Season produce better results than the others.

Keywords: Pre-monsoon rainfall; Multiple Linear Regression (MLR); Residual Plot; Root mean square error (RMSE); Analysis of variance (ANOVA);
Comments on this paper
estefania Ascencio
Dear authors thank you for your support to the conference.

Now we closed the publication phase and launched the post-publication phase of the conference. REVIEWWWERS'08 Brainstorming Workshop is Now Open from 2023-Jan-01 to 2023-Jan-31. MOL2NET Committee, Authors, and Validated Social Media Followers Worldwide are ... Invited to Post Moderated Questions/Answers, Comments, about papers. Please kindly post your public Answers (A) to the following questions in order to promote interchange of scientific ideas. These are my Questions (Q) to you:

Q1. What is the potential of your method to develop a company startup idea based on it?
Q2. Have you considered and/or are you in process of creating a similar startup company with students of your college?

Now the conference publication phase is close but you can answer here directly as a post-publication comment. However, in case you want to elaborate your answers in a more structured way in the form of a short communication we can upload it free-of-cost on your behalf to the CATCHTOHIT-03: Congress on Acad. Transl. Res. for Companies Helping to Height. Innov. & Tech., Bilbao-Cambridge, MA, USA, 2022. https://mol2net-08.sciforum.net/catchtohit-03

Thank you for your kind support. Please make questions to other papers in different Mol2Net congresses
Commenting Steps: Login, Go to Papers List, Select Paper, Write Comment, Click Post Comment
Papers list: https://mol2net-08.sciforum.net/presentations/view
Workshop link: https://mol2net-08.sciforum.net/#reviewwwers



 
 
Top