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DEVELOPMENT AND PATH OF HURRICANE ETA. CASE STUDY USING THE WRF MODEL WITH DYNAMIC UPDATING OF THE SST.
* 1 , 2 , 3
1  Meteorology Department, Technologies and Applied Sciences Higher Institute (InSTEC), Havana University, Havana, Cuba.
2  Atmospheric Physics Center, Meteorology Institute, Casablanca, 10900, Havana, Cuba.
3  Forecast Center, Meteorology Institute, Casablanca, 10900, Havana, Cuba
Academic Editor: Anthony Lupo

Abstract:

This research has as purpose to carry out a detailed study of the development and trajectory of Eta from numerical modeling, using the ERA5 re-analysis system as a support and complement to the meteorological research and forecast model (WRF) with dynamic update of sea surface temperature (WRF-SST). Specifically, it is intended to describe the synoptic and general circulation environment in which Eta developed using the ERA5 Re-analysis; design experiments with the WRF model, for the simulation of the case study with greater spatial and temporal resolution; and describe, from the numerical outputs, the meteorological conditions that influenced the two analyzed Eta life periods. Through the experiments carried out with the ERA5 and the WRF, a more detailed analysis of the conditions in which Eta developed and moved was achieved. When analyzing the maps of the ERA5 re-analysis system, a general underestimation of the wind speed during the analyzed periods was identified. The first moment was characterized by a system in the development phase that failed to intensity under the influence of a trough over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico that generated a sheared environment. These conditions were maintained during the second moment, when the organism described an erratic trajectory due to the fact that it was under the influence of weak directing currents, until it entered the flow of a ridge that led it to redirect its trajectory towards the north. Through the experiments that were carried out with the WRF-SST and from the numerical outputs, it was possible to describe with greater precision the meteorological conditions that influenced the development, trajectory and intensity changes of Eta.

Keywords: Tropical cyclone, Eta, re-analysis system, numerical model.
Comments on this paper
Suneiky Carvajal
I consider that this item is very well undertaken

Jorge Martinez
Good Job,interesting analysis and Study.
Gretell Sosa Martínez
Thank you very much for your kind review.

Ivette Fernandez
Good Stady,good.graphics and material. Good traslation as well.Interesting.
Gretell Sosa Martínez
Thank you very much.

Anthony Lupo
Very interesting work. Do you have a journal article or conference paper to share? Please send to me if you can.
Gretell Sosa Martínez
Dear Mr. Anthony Lupo:
Thank you very much for your comment. It is an honor for us that our article has been to your liking. This would be the first article that I publish, it constitutes only a part of my thesis work in option to the title of Bachelor of Meteorology, but if you like, later I can send you the complete work that was the one that I presented in my diploma course. This covers the trajectory of the Eta system from its tropical storm status on November 1, 2020 to November 11, 2020, for which the study is divided into significant moments or moments of interest: first moment (from November 1 to 3 November), second moment (from November 7 to 8) and third moment (from November 9 to 11), the last two being the ones I presented for the event. With a little more time I will send you the information regarding the first moment, which would be the part of the study that is missing, for this I would need you to provide me with an email address to write to. Sincerely the authors.



 
 
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